
"Beldin the Sorcerer"
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beldinyyz@verizon.net
Sep 16, 2006, 10:20 AM
Post #20 of 24(213 views)
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"Eric Lindholm" <someone@microsoft.com> wrote in message news:TxGKg.1097$I71.547@trnddc01... > Curious for thoughts on this hand: > > Nine-player NLHE sng, three places pay, four left. I have about 2700 of the > 13500 in play, blinds 100/200, no ante but we will go to 100/200/25 fairly > soon. These are the other players, from my left: > > Opponent A (4300): Calling station, has been caught several times with > inferior hands and gotten bailed out by the deck. > > Opponent B (4800): Seems basically solid, pretty middle of the road in terms > of aggression, perhaps just a bit on the conservative side. > > Opponent C (1700): Lucky to have made it this far, has hit hands at the > right times but is weak strategically and isn't showing any signs of > urgency. > > I have tried some preflop moves with crap (since that's all I've had) and > they haven't worked. But in general, the big stacks have seemed mainly > content to play it safe until someone busts. > > I'm on the small blind, B makes it 600, C folds, and I have AKs. What's the > play? > I'm going to answer this 3 weeks after you asked it, because it's relevent in another thread. What's B got? He's described as follows : Opponent B (4800): Seems basically solid, pretty middle of the road in terms of aggression, perhaps just a bit on the conservative side. Who's this conservative player raising? Opponent A (4300): Calling station, has been caught several times with inferior hands and gotten bailed out by the deck. So he can't be trying to steal. The guy calls very often. Also, the guy had the only stack that can cripple him terribly. The conservative player isn't going to raise him with 77 He isn't going to raise him with AJ He's got a big hand. JJ, possibly. QQ, KK, AA, AK most likely. Short stack's BB, maybe looser, but against the only stack he really needs to fear. No way is this a push. At best a coin flip. If he tried raising with AQ and you push he'll fold. That isn't a read. That's a probability assessment. Definately one of Sklansky's class one hands. Call, if you want to try and spike an ace. Fold, and let the calling station donk off heavily, and maybe make second more of a contest. >
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